Earnings Predictor
Ahead of each quarterly earnings report, our AI reads a company’s historical post-earnings reactions, momentum, EPS beat/miss pattern, recent news, analyst rating activity, price targets, insider trading, and growth trend, then computes a directional lean and confidence score.
Mix of real Alpaca paper-trading fills (actual share counts and prices) and, for predictions made before paper trading was added, an equivalent $100k hypothetical estimate. Paper money only — before fees, spread, or slippage.
Upcoming
COO’s signal is only slightly positive, with the model pointing up at 51% confidence, but the recent price trend has been weak: the stock is down about 2.2% over 5 days and 6.2% over 20 days. The longer-run pattern is mixed, since the stock has beaten the move direction only 37.5% of the time across the last 8 quarters, even though earnings beats have been frequent. Analyst and news flow are fairly quiet overall, aside from one upgrade to Buy tied to improved earnings optimism, and the consensus price target of 76.8 suggests about 10.3% upside from the last close. Growth is modest, with revenue up about 5.1% but EPS down about 4.6%, while valuation remains rich at a 59.0 P/E despite a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
CASY has a mixed but slightly positive setup: over the last 8 quarters, the signal has been right on direction 75% of the time, and the stock has beaten earnings every time in that sample. Recent news is mildly supportive, with strong inside sales momentum in food, beverages, and grocery plus some partnership and brand-promotion activity. Analyst activity is also constructive, with 1 upgrade and no downgrades, and the consensus price target of 947.54 sits above the last close of 759.34, with the recent target trend edging higher. Offsetting that, the stock has been weak recently, insider activity is heavily negative with 27 sells versus 1 buy, and the valuation is rich at a 39.27 P/E despite solid revenue growth of 10.2% and EPS growth of 31.0%; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
LULU’s signal is mildly positive, but only with modest confidence. The stock has a mixed recent pattern: it beat in all 8 analyzed quarters, yet the average post-earnings move was slightly negative, and the last 20 days show a small gain after a flat-to-soft 5-day stretch. News flow is cautious overall, with concerns about weak expectations and margin pressure outweighing the more supportive items. Analyst activity is also mixed, with 2 downgrades versus 1 upgrade, while the consensus price target of 124.55 sits only a little above the last close of 120.81. Growth is uneven, with revenue still rising but EPS declining, even as valuation and leverage look relatively restrained; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
CPRT’s signal is only mildly positive, with the model pointing up but at low confidence. The recent setup is mixed: the stock has been strong over the last 20 days, but the 5-day momentum is negative, and its 8-quarter history shows a modest hit rate with slightly negative average moves after similar signals. News has been mostly routine, with some large institutional buying but no clear company-specific catalyst, and analyst ratings were unchanged. On fundamentals, revenue and EPS growth are solid, margins are strong, and debt is very low, while the valuation is not especially cheap and the price target trend has edged lower; insider activity has been net selling. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
Ciena’s recent setup is mixed but slightly constructive: the model points up with only moderate confidence, while the company has a strong earnings-beat rate of 75% and solid growth, with revenue up 18.8% and EPS up 50.0%. Recent news has been broadly positive around AI-driven networking demand, backlog, and service-provider revenue growth, and analysts showed one upgrade with no downgrades. On the other hand, the stock has been weak over the last 5 days, insider activity has been heavily negative with 16 sells and no buys, and the valuation looks rich at a 122.5 P/E despite a net margin of 7.9% and moderate debt. The price target consensus still sits well above the last close, though the recent target trend has moved lower, which tempers the otherwise favorable backdrop — this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
Past predictions
NTAP’s signal is mildly positive, but the edge is not strong: the model points up with 56% confidence, while the stock has been weak over the last 5 days even though it is still up over 20 days. The most supportive factor is fundamentals and news, with revenue growth of about 5.4% and EPS growth of about 10.7%, plus recent coverage noting NetApp’s Leader status in Gartner’s 2026 Magic Quadrant and momentum in its public cloud business. Analyst activity is only slightly favorable with one upgrade and no downgrades, but the price target consensus of 182.88 sits below the last close of 190.64, and insider activity has been clearly negative with 12 sells and no buys. Valuation and balance-sheet context are mixed, with a P/E near 29.6, a net margin around 18.4%, and debt-to-equity above 2.0, so the signal is best read as a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
HPE’s signal leans positive, with a 62% confidence on an upward move and a strong recent pattern: it has beaten expectations in 7 of the last 8 quarters, and the average post-earnings move has been modestly positive. Recent momentum is also supportive, with the stock up about 2.9% over 5 days and 15.4% over 20 days. Analyst and news flow are constructive, with 2 upgrades, no downgrades, and broadly favorable coverage tied to AI infrastructure demand and a growing Private Cloud AI backlog; the consensus price target still implies about 27.1% upside, though that target has edged slightly lower recently. Offsetting that, insider activity has been negative with 3 sells and no buys, while EPS growth remains weak despite 14.1% revenue growth and the valuation looks rich at a 49.9 P/E with debt-to-equity at 0.84, all of which temper the setup; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
AVGO’s setup is mixed but slightly positive: the model points to an upward move with only 51% confidence, and the recent 5-day momentum is up even though the 20-day trend is still down. The most supportive fundamental factor is strong growth, with revenue up about 23.9% and EPS growth very strong, alongside broadly positive news flow around AI semiconductor, custom chip, and networking demand. Offsetting that, analysts have issued 2 downgrades, the price-target trend has fallen recently even though the consensus target still sits well above the last close, and insider activity has been heavily net selling. Valuation also looks rich at a P/E of about 60, which may limit how much good news is already priced in, and this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
The signal is leaning bearish, with the model pointing down and only moderate confidence at 55%. Recent price action has also been weak, with the stock down over the past 5 days and 20 days, and the only prior quarterly sample showed a negative average move. Fundamentals look mixed to soft: revenue growth is slightly negative and EPS growth is sharply lower, which can weigh on sentiment. On the other hand, the consensus price target is well above the last close, but there has been no recent analyst revision activity, no insider buying or selling, and news has been mostly routine without a clear catalyst. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Dell’s setup looks supported by strong recent business momentum: revenue growth was about 18.8% and EPS growth about 37.6%, while the company has also beaten earnings in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Recent news has been broadly positive, centered on AI server demand and expectations for an earnings beat, and analysts have added 2 upgrades with no downgrades. The price target consensus is slightly above the last close at 477.31, with a modest recent upward drift in targets, though insider activity has been heavily negative with 38 sells and no buys. Overall, the signal is positive but not strong, and it reflects a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
MDT’s signal is mildly positive, with the model pointing up at 62% confidence, but the historical edge is modest: over 8 quarters, the hit rate was 50% and the average move was small. The recent setup is mixed, with 5-day momentum negative but 20-day momentum still positive, suggesting the stock has cooled a bit after a better stretch. Supporting the bullish case, news sentiment is mildly positive, analysts logged 2 upgrades and no downgrades, and the consensus price target of 93.85 sits slightly above the last close of 92.02, with the recent target trend moving higher. Offsetting that, insider activity was net negative with 2 sells and no buys, while fundamentals show steady revenue and EPS growth alongside a mid-20s P/E and moderate leverage; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
PANW’s signal is mildly positive, with a 57% confidence score and a projected upward direction, but the historical pattern is not especially strong: over the last 8 quarters, the hit rate was 50% and the average move was slightly negative. The most supportive factor is the recent price-target backdrop, with consensus at 373.34 and a recent upward trend in targets, alongside mildly positive news flow tied to network security demand and analyst optimism. On the other hand, insider activity is a notable offset, with 22 sells and no buys, and the valuation looks rich at a P/E of 285.1 even though the balance sheet is relatively light on debt. Growth is mixed too, with revenue up 14.9% but EPS down 57.7%, which tempers the bullish case. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
ULTA’s signal leans positive, with the model pointing up at 62% confidence and the stock already showing solid recent momentum over 5 days and 20 days. The most supportive fundamental piece is that the company has beaten earnings expectations in 6 of the last 8 quarters, while revenue growth is running at about 9.7% and EPS growth is slightly positive. News flow is mildly constructive, helped by the upcoming earnings date and the reported BlackRock stake purchase, though analyst ratings were unchanged and insider activity was slightly negative with one sale. Valuation looks moderate rather than cheap, with a P/E around 19.5 and debt-to-equity near 0.89, so the setup is constructive but not extreme; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
DLTR’s signal is modestly positive, with the model pointing up at 60% confidence, helped by a decent recent run: the stock is up about 9.2% over the last 20 days and has beaten the post-earnings move direction in 75% of the last 8 quarters. Recent news is also mildly supportive, with more upgrades than downgrades and some bullish commentary around the company, though the overall news score is only slightly positive. On the other hand, the consensus price target of 128 sits below the last close of 131.48, and insider activity has been notably negative, with 12 sells and no buys. Growth looks strong, with revenue up about 10.4% and EPS up about 144.3%, but valuation and balance-sheet context are mixed given a P/E around 20.5 and debt-to-equity above 2.1; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
ADSK’s signal leans positive, with the model pointing up and a 68% confidence level, supported by a strong recent 20-day price move of about 21%. The historical setup is also favorable: over the last 8 quarters, the stock has beaten the post-earnings move in all cases, with a 62.5% hit rate for upside and an average move that has been modest but positive. Analyst and insider activity add some support, with one recent upgrade and five insider buys versus no sells, while the consensus price target of 303.15 still sits about 19% above the last close even though that target has drifted lower recently. Fundamentals look mixed but constructive, with revenue growth around 17.5% and EPS growth near 2.1%, balanced against a relatively rich P/E near 36.8 and moderate leverage. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
Dollar General’s signal is moderately positive, with the model pointing up at 63% confidence. The strongest support comes from fundamentals and expectations: revenue growth is about 5.2% and EPS growth is about 34.2%, while recent coverage has been mildly positive and included a higher 2026 EPS and sales outlook. Analyst data is a bit mixed, though, with one downgrade and no upgrades, even as the consensus price target of 138.18 sits about 12.0% above the last close and has trended higher recently. The stock’s recent 20-day momentum is also positive, which helps the case, but the longer history shows only a 50% hit rate and slightly negative average post-signal move. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
HRL’s signal is slightly bearish, with the model pointing down and only moderate confidence at 55. The stock has also been weak recently, with 5-day momentum at -2.7% and 20-day momentum at -5.6%, which lines up with the negative near-term tone. On fundamentals, revenue growth is still positive, but EPS growth is down sharply, and the valuation looks somewhat rich at a P/E of about 28 versus a net margin of 3.8%. News and analyst activity are mostly neutral, though there was one notable insider sale and the price target consensus sits only a little above the last close, so there is limited external support. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
BBY’s signal is slightly negative, with a modestly lower expected move and only 52% confidence. The strongest bearish factor is insider activity: there were 16 insider sells and no buys, with a large negative net value, which outweighs the mildly positive news tone. Analyst activity is also mixed-to-negative, with 3 downgrades versus 1 upgrade, even though the price-target trend has ticked up recently; the consensus target of 80.67 is still below the last close of 85.89. On the fundamentals side, EPS growth is solid and revenue is roughly flat, but the valuation and balance-sheet context are not especially strong, with a moderate P/E and debt-to-equity above 1.3. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
MRVL’s signal is mildly bullish, with the model pointing up at 61% confidence and the stock already showing positive 5-day and 20-day momentum. The strongest supportive factor is fundamentals: revenue growth is about 42% and EPS growth is very strong, while the company also has a solid net margin and moderate debt-to-equity. Analyst and price-target data are also constructive, with one upgrade, no downgrades, and a consensus target above the last close, with the target trend moving higher recently. Offsetting that, insider activity has been net selling and the valuation is rich at a high P/E, which helps explain why the overall signal is positive but not strong; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
WDAY’s signal is mildly positive, but the setup is mixed: the model points up with only moderate confidence, and the stock has strong 20-day momentum even though the 8-quarter history shows an average move that was slightly negative and only a 50% hit rate. On the fundamental side, revenue growth of about 13% and EPS growth of about 31% are supportive, and the company’s recent news has a small positive tilt from AI-related initiatives and buyout speculation. However, analyst activity is a drag with 2 downgrades and no upgrades, the consensus price target sits below the last close, and insider activity has been heavily negative with 38 sells and no buys. Valuation also looks demanding at a P/E above 62, so the signal is being pulled in both directions, and this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
Nvidia’s signal is only mildly positive, with the model pointing up but at modest confidence. The strongest supportive factor is fundamentals: revenue and EPS growth are both very high, and the company also has a strong net margin with low debt-to-equity, which helps the balance-sheet picture. On the other hand, insider activity has been notably negative, with 7 sells and no buys, and the recent price-target trend has moved lower even though the consensus target still sits well above the last close. The short-term trading setup is mixed too, since the stock has been down over 5 days but up over 20 days, and the historical pattern here has been weak, with only a 12.5% hit rate over the last 8 quarters; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
WSM’s signal is mildly positive, but the historical setup is mixed: across 8 prior quarters, the stock has only closed up 37.5% of the time after the event, even though the average move has been modestly positive. The most supportive factor is the recent tone in the news and analyst activity, with mildly positive pre-earnings sentiment, one upgrade, and a recent rise in the price-target trend. On the other hand, insider activity is a clear negative, with 10 sells and no buys, and the consensus price target of 233.9 is slightly below the last close of 235.7. Growth is positive but not strong, while valuation remains somewhat elevated at a 26.0 P/E, so this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
SNPS shows a mildly positive setup, but the signal is only modestly confident at 53 and the recent pattern has been mixed: over the last 8 quarters, the hit rate for upside moves was just 12.5%, even though the company beat expectations in 87.5% of those periods. Recent price action is also uneven, with a negative 5-day momentum but a positive 20-day trend. The most supportive factor is the analyst price target picture: the consensus target of 555.86 implies meaningful upside from the last close, even though the recent target trend has moved lower. News flow is only mildly positive, centered on AI-driven Design IP momentum and routine accumulation updates rather than a fresh catalyst. Offsetting that, insider activity has been negative with 2 sells and no buys, and the valuation remains rich at a P/E of about 90 while EPS growth is negative despite solid revenue growth. Overall, this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
This signal leans modestly positive, with the stock showing a strong recent run and a decent historical pattern: it has moved up after 6 of the last 8 analyzed quarters, and the average post-event move has been positive. Recent news is also moderately supportive, helped by FDA and EU approvals, an AI/biopharma workflow expansion, and a product launch. Offsetting that, analyst activity is mixed, the consensus price target sits slightly below the current price, and there was one reported insider sale. Growth is still positive but not especially fast, while valuation looks somewhat rich at a P/E of 31.3, so this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
Veeva’s setup is mixed but leans constructive: over the last 8 quarters, the signal has been right on direction 62.5% of the time, and the stock has shown a strong 20-day move even though the most recent 5-day momentum was slightly negative. The news flow is moderately positive, highlighted by Eli Lilly’s global commitment to Veeva Vault CRM, which could support future revenue. Growth also looks solid, with revenue up 16.3% and EPS up 25.9%, while the balance sheet remains light on debt. Offsetting that, insider activity has been negative with 4 sells and no buys, and the valuation is rich at a 43.5 P/E with the consensus price target slightly below the last close; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
CRM’s signal is mildly positive, but not strong: the model points up with 57% confidence, and the stock has shown solid recent momentum, especially over the last 20 days. The fundamental backdrop is also supportive, with revenue growth of about 9.6% and EPS growth of about 21.9%, while the beat rate over the last eight quarters is high at 87.5%. Offsetting that, the news flow is mixed-to-neutral, analyst activity is slightly negative with more downgrades than upgrades, and the consensus price target has fallen recently even though it still sits above the last close. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
SJM’s signal leans slightly positive, but only modestly, with a 56% confidence and a small expected upside based on the historical pattern. The strongest supportive factor is recent price action: the stock has risen over the past 5 and 20 days, and the setup has beaten earnings expectations in 75% of the last 8 quarters. Analyst activity is quiet, with no upgrades or downgrades, while the consensus price target of 124.21 is only a little above the last close of 123.05 and has edged up recently. Offsetting that, insider activity has been net negative with 5 sells and no buys, and the valuation/balance-sheet picture is mixed given negative net margin and elevated debt-to-equity despite solid revenue and EPS growth. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
CrowdStrike’s signal is only mildly positive, with a modest upward tilt and low confidence. The strongest supportive factor is the company’s history of beating expectations, with a high beat rate over the last eight quarters, and the consensus price target of 200.39 sits about 5.3% above the last close, with the recent target trend moving higher. Offsetting that, recent news is slightly negative, mainly because of the CTO departure, and insider activity has been heavily net selling. Growth is still solid on revenue, but EPS growth is weak, and the valuation/balance-sheet snapshot shows a small net loss and relatively low debt; this is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
HPQ’s signal is mildly bearish, with the model pointing down and only moderate confidence. The most notable negatives are insider selling, with 5 sells and no buys for a net outflow of about $1.77 million, and a consensus price target of $19.25, which sits well below the last close of $29.47. News sentiment is also slightly negative, as analyst caution about memory chip costs potentially pressuring margins outweighs the more positive product-launch and institutional-buying headlines. On the fundamentals side, revenue growth is still positive at 3.2%, but EPS growth is negative at -5.7%, which fits the softer tone around profitability. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.
Cited news
INTU’s signal is mildly positive, with a predicted upward direction but only moderate confidence at 57. The strongest support comes from recent price action, since the stock has gained over the past 5 and 20 days, even though its 8-quarter history shows mixed short-term follow-through and an average move that has been slightly negative. Analyst activity is a headwind here, with 5 downgrades and no upgrades, and the consensus price target still sits about 14% above the last close even though that target trend has recently slipped. Fundamentally, revenue and EPS growth are solid, and the balance sheet looks manageable with moderate debt, while valuation is not especially cheap but also not extreme. This is a historical-pattern and public-data-based signal, not a guarantee.